China's Status As A Non-Market Economy 中国的非市场经济体地位

China’s goals of international recognition during the last decade, in addition to accession to the World Trade Organization (“WTO”), include most prominently acceptance by the United States as a market economy. There have been at least two motivations: to have its creation of a market, “with Chinese characteristics,” recognized and approved around the world; and to be liberated from the trade remedy methodology tailored specifically for non-market economies. The former is more psychic; the latter is pragmatic.

Non-Market Economy Status

World trade rules are built around principles of free trade. Free trade as an ideal type refers to unimpeded private market transactions where governments, monopolies, and state enterprises do not have enough influence to distort the conduct or outcomes of private enterprise competition. The free private enterprise system assumes, as did Adam Smith, that the selfish private acts of individuals and their organizations will yield, out of their competition and interaction, a greater public good. The market, not government, defines and produces the public good. It also assumes that governments and monopolies, when regulating or controlling private transactions, distort markets and thus are harmful to the public good.

The role of government in the ideal free private enterprise system is limited, mostly to regulating anticompetitive behavior and breaking up excessively large conglomerates and monopolies that prevent free competition. Of course, such limited government is a fiction. Governments have many roles in civil society, and all impact the economy.

All governments raise revenue through taxes. They make judgments about who most can afford to pay. Despite the periodic calls in the United States for a “flat tax” imposed on everyone equally, taxes everywhere are “progressive,” graduated according to the perceptions of what can be afforded and by whom, including business enterprises as well as individuals. Taxes on transactions – sales taxes or value added taxes – are also common. The form of taxation, the extent to which taxes are graduated, and the taxpayers (corporate or individual) all express public policies favoring some over others. A core public policy in the United States favors private home ownership, which has produced special tax provisions affecting everything from bank loans to construction materials. All such government interventions and taxes distort markets in one way or another. Yet, like death, taxes are inevitable and are the most obvious form of government intervention in markets.

Governments play additional roles. Every free market system assigns governments a role in forbidding the formation and operation of anticompetitive monopolies and trusts. Governments may regulate to protect the health, safety, and welfare of citizens. Such regulations typically raise costs of production for private enterprise, and impose certain manufacturing methods and ways of doing business. Hence, despite the ideal type, governments everywhere intervene in the free market.

Corporations rhetorically champion free enterprise, but in practice they seek competitive advantages that inevitably translate into limitations on competition. Governments regulate to limit or eliminate such corporate behavior. The nature of competition is to seek an advantage and a superiority over others. Such advantages are defined by reducing the competitive abilities and positions of others. Individuals and corporations idealize competition only to the extent that competition can improve their situations, which by definition requires the degrading of the competitive positions of others. Consequently, free private enterprise systems foster competitors whose objective is always to reduce competition. Governments overseeing such systems endeavor to maximize competition, while protecting against the release into the stream of commerce of products and practices inimical to the health and safety of individuals and society.
This ideal type of free enterprise system is the theoretical antithesis of a state-controlled or command economy. In the ideal type, government intervenes only as required, reluctantly, and while trying to guarantee free competition. In a command economy, government seeks to direct all economic activity, deciding what needs to be manufactured, to whom it should be distributed, and at what price. Government extracts rents from this production and, therefore, in control of the entire economy, can raise revenues anyway it likes. Markets function only to the extent that governments permit, in any particular sector, the interaction of willing buyers and willing sellers. Mostly, demand is regulated by supply, the latter controlled entirely by the government.

The United States, since the ascension to power of Mao Tse-Tung, has treated China, dominated by state-owned enterprises and with a tax system dictated by government (rather than negotiated among competing interests), as a non-market economy. However, China, since the “opening” of Deng Xiaoping, no longer regards itself as a non-market economy. Instead, China thinks of itself as a capitalist, market economy, albeit with “Chinese characteristics.”

There are many indicia supporting China’s self-image because substantial competition has grown up in China. Capitalist goods are everywhere and are sold competitively throughout the country. There are advertisements promoting different prices for the same or comparable goods. People decide what to buy, from food to cars, such that supply does not control demand, and the government does not control supplies. Labor has become mobile, with people moving from one part of the country to another, from one kind of job to another, from one corporate entity to another making or selling the same product. Prices vary with supply and demand, not dictated by government.

There are many indicia that China remains a command economy. The government owns and controls the supply and prices of natural resources and public utilities. The government controls banks and insurance, lends money through the banks according to government policy and rates, controls the currency and its value. The most important economic sectors, such as steel production, are dominated, when not exclusively captured, by state-owned enterprises. Through the control of money and loans and prices, the government dictates the supply and demand for the most important products and services.

The global economic meltdown with the fall of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 made the United States look more like China than the other way around. The U.S. government took effective control of major banks and insurance companies, bought out one of the leading economic sectors – automobile manufacturing – and shaped subsidy programs throughout the economy designed to assure the success or survival of enterprises chosen by the government. Yet, while insisting that it is the world’s leading capitalist economy, the United States denied China’s claim to be recognized as a market economy.
 

Symbolism Of Market Recognition


China, as a matter of national pride and self-respect, has resented the American insistence that massive American subsidies and market intervention preserved a capitalist, market, free enterprise system, while identical conduct in China guaranteed that China would be considered outside the mainstream, along with Cuba and Vietnam and North Korea, as a non-market economy. The more China has insisted that the United States should recognize it as a market economy, the more the United States has resisted. Excuses have become cumulative, most prominently in the American complaint over China’s refusal to float fully the value of its currency, notwithstanding that U.S. currency did not float freely until 1971, and the United States certainly was not considered a non-market economy before then.

Recognition as a market economy has come to mean, for China, fulfillment of a promise it perceives was made in 2001 when China acceded to the WTO. Even though the WTO agreement projected recognition as a market economy by 2016, and then only upon the satisfaction of various criteria, China’s Commerce Minister now insists that the United States agreed to recognize China’s market economy status by 2010 and offers a sense of betrayal that recognition has not happened.

The Practicalities Of Market Economy Status

In only one significant respect does recognition as a market economy matter: when complaints are brought that Chinese goods are dumped in the United States, the methodology for determining whether there is dumping, and if so, how much, is different for non-market economies. This distinct methodology gives the United States Department of Commerce more discretion and flexibility to find dumping, and to inflate the dumping “margin,” the measure of how much dumping and consequently how much duty will be owed for the merchandise to be imported into the United States.

Dumping is determined in one of two ways: either a good is sold abroad for a price lower than the price at home, or the costs to produce the good exceed the price at which the good is sold abroad. When Chinese goods are subjected to this second measurement, the cost of production, the non-market economy methodology becomes critical.

Non-market economy status presumes that, in the absence of markets, there are no market prices. It is then theoretically impossible to determine the cost of production because it is impossible to determine the costs of any of the inputs. There are no market wages; no market rents; no market utilities. Raw materials have no market prices, nor do any component parts.
When the inputs are imported from a market economy, dumping analysts use the price the Chinese manufacturer has paid for those inputs. But when the inputs are domestic products, analysts assume there is no market price for them. The analysts then seek and apply “surrogate” prices – prices of the same input in a “market” economy that, supposedly, is at a similar level of development as China. Surrogate values may come from many different countries, but American official analysts have favored (for China) India, Bangladesh, Indonesia, and occasionally other countries.

The selection of surrogate values is highly contentious and is decided, in the end, by U.S. government officials. They have decided that freight costs, for example, could not be used if derived from a Chinese-flag ship. They have chosen, instead, some of the highest shipping rates in the world.

Subsidies And Market Economy Status

Until November 2006, treatment of China as a non-market economy did have advantages for China. A “subsidy” in international trade is a financial contribution from a government that is market-distorting. Where there is no market, there is nothing to distort. Therefore, until November 2006, the United States had never brought a subsidies (countervailing duty) case against China. Subsidies could not be alleged; they had to be treated as costs of production susceptible to the application of surrogate values.

It was always thought that China could not and would not be exposed to countervailing duty allegations unless and until it might be recognized as a market economy. The Chinese Government, consequently, stayed out of trade remedy disputes, as dumping is the business of business, not government. Dumping is determined by prices, and companies, not governments, set prices. Moreover, it was exceedingly difficult to address some of the “inputs” this way for a cost-of-production analysis.

The 2006 mid-term elections delivered a significant Democratic majority pressuring the Administration to get tough on China, especially as to alleged subsidies. A petition alleging subsidies to coated free sheet paper was pending. The Department of Commerce, soon after the elections, decided to initiate a countervailing duty investigation, while refusing, still, to recognize China as a market economy.

China protested the apparent anomaly – a non-market economy subjected to a countervailing duty investigation – but to no avail. Various legal issues emerged and several are still the subject of WTO proceedings initiated by China. None has been resolved by the WTO, and meanwhile the United States has found subsidies and imposed countervailing duties in 12 cases already. All of these cases were accompanied by antidumping petitions, and a cumulation of dumping and subsidies duties have been imposed in 26 cases since 2007. Petitioners complaining about unfair competition from China now routinely file simultaneously antidumping and countervailing duty petitions.

Why Non-Market Economy Status No Longer Has Practical Meaning

The decision to investigate subsidy allegations and impose countervailing duties while still treating China as a non-market economy rendered the non-market economy status practically meaningless. It is not as if, were China tomorrow to be recognized as a market economy, anything of practical value would change.

The United States has been applying surrogate values for subsidy allegations against China throughout the economy. For the allegation that China was not charging enough money for the commercial use of land in rural Shandong Province, the Department of Commerce used land values from suburban Bangkok. The Commerce Department ignored entirely expert testimony that the use of such values was nonsensical from the perspective of economics and land use.  And Commerce treated any input supplied by a state-owned enterprise as a subsidy, the value of which was to be determined by selection of a surrogate value in a market economy. 

The rationale for the application of surrogate values is based on Certain Softwood Lumber from Canada.  Even though a WTO panel found the use of such values improper in the case of Canada and a NAFTA panel found it illegal, the Commerce Department dismissed the NAFTA panel as having no precedential authority and the WTO panel as ambiguous. Beginning with coated free sheet paper, the Commerce Department has cited its own administrative determination in the softwood lumber case as the basis for its treatment of China.

The Commerce Department argues that, even though Canada is indisputably a market economy, Canadian provincial governments own so much of the forests that any price for standing timber cannot be a market price. It did not matter that nearly twenty-five percent of the standing timber sold in Quebec is private, as is more than fifteen percent in Ontario. It did not matter that the pricing scheme for public forests in Quebec was based entirely on the prices in the private forest. The Commerce Department reasoned that the public sector was so large compared to the private sector that the private sector prices were driven by the public sector and therefore could not be used. It reasoned that the residual value methodology applied by Ontario, whereby the market price of manufactured lumber required certain pricing of the raw material, could not be used because most of the natural resource was in public hands. It did not matter that the NAFTA and WTO panels disagreed, as did a number of notable experts.

China, over the course of three years, has failed to successfully challenge any of the Commerce Department surrogate value applications in U.S. courts. [confirm] Consequently, the Commerce Department has been laying a foundation of subsidy findings as “administrative practice,” upon which it can rely for virtually anything that may arise in the Chinese economy. Bank loans, even from commercial banks, can be treated as non-market rates because of the alleged dominance of state-owned banks setting the market rates; prices for inputs from private companies can be set aside as long as there are state-owned enterprises in the same business. It will be very difficult for China to prove that the state is not dominant in one sector or another, and the burden of proof will fall on China.

The United States can recognize China as a market economy and continue to apply surrogate values and non-market economy methodologies in trade remedy disputes because China has focused on the issue of market economy status instead of on the methodology the United States developed in the softwood lumber dispute with Canada. The core issue remains not the nomenclature, but the predominance of state-owned enterprises.

The Strategic And Economic Dialogue

The Strategic and Economic Dialogue in Beijing in May 2010 seemed to produce only one Chinese headline: that the United States was going to recognize China as a market economy. The expectation was variously seen as fulfillment of a promise and as an essential American concession, a Chinese victory of sorts. The United States, as it happens, did not provide such recognition, only promising to continue a discussion about it. Consequently, the United States now knows it is holding something that China values highly, and yet is not worth very much, an enviable negotiating position. China, for its part, needs to recognize how little such recognition means, and move on to more meaningful discussions.
 

       过去十年里,中国积极努力希望获得世界认可:除历经艰辛终于加入世贸组织外,还包括要求美国授予中国市场经济地位。这一努力背后有两大动力:希望“具有中国特色” 的市场经济制度得到世界认可,同时免受只针对非市场经济体的贸易补偿方法。前者出于心理因素,后者处于实际考量。

       请阅读英文全文。

US Court Tells Commerce Department It Cannot Impose Countervailing Duties When It Uses The Non-Market Economy Methodology In A Companion Antidumping Case 美国法庭否决美国商务部双重征税计算方法

中文请点击这里

Chief Judge Jane A. Restani of the United States Court of International Trade (“CIT”) on August 4, 2010 ordered the United States Department of Commerce (“DOC”) to forego the imposition of countervailing duties on pneumatic off-the-road tires from the People’s Republic of China. Her decision, in GPX International Tire Corporation v. United States, was based on her ruling that US law prohibited DOC from imposing duties higher than the amount needed to offset subsidies on imported products.

The problem for DOC, inherent in the case and as posed by Judge Restani, is that DOC uses surrogate values presumed to be unsubsidized, rather than a company’s actual production costs, to calculate Normal Values. DOC compares these Normal Values in its non-market economy antidumping methodology to the export price, a methodology that should, at least in theory, offset any subsidies on the production of the merchandise (because the comparison has been taken against unsubsidized inputs through surrogate values). If DOC were to impose countervailing duties to offset subsidies that benefit the production of the merchandise, then it would be offsetting the same subsidies twice.

Double counting of subsidies does not occur with DOC’s market economy dumping methodologies (19 C.F.R. §§ 351.405 & 351.406) because, in those cases, Normal Value is calculated based on actual prices in the foreign market and actual costs incurred in that market. Thus, if there were any subsidies imbedded in those prices or costs, they would not be offset by the antidumping methodology and would need to be addressed separately in a countervailing duty investigation.

Judge Restani’s August 4, 2010 decision followed an earlier decision in the GPX case where she sent the matter back to DOC to find a way to avoid the double counting problem. In the earlier case, Judge Restani found that, while DOC had discretion to impose countervailing duties on Chinese merchandise while still considering China to be a non-market economy (the central issue in dispute), DOC had to avoid double counting of subsidies when it applied the countervailing duty law and the antidumping non-market economy methodology to the same products at the same time.

DOC interpreted Judge Restani’s earlier decision as giving it three options: (a) not apply the countervailing duty law; (b) apply the market economy antidumping methodology in that case; or (c) lower the cash deposits imposed in the antidumping case by the amount of cash deposits imposed in the countervailing duty case. DOC decided to lower the antidumping deposits by the amount of the countervailing duty deposits. Judge Restani found that option contrary to US law because there is no provision in the antidumping statute to lower duties by the amount of countervailing duties and because that option is unreasonable as it requires the parties to go through the expense of countervailing duty proceedings that are essentially useless.

Judge Restani ordered DOC to forego imposing countervailing duties on off-the-road tires from China because DOC demonstrated in that case that it did not have the ability to determine the degree to which double counting was occurring in its non-market economy language and offset it directly within that methodology. Thus, the CIT has left open the option in future cases for DOC to try new methodologies to eliminate the double counting within the antidumping nonmarket economy methodology. DOC continues to have the option of imposing countervailing duties to products from China in cases without a companion antidumping case on the same products, or in cases in which it uses its discretion to recognize a market-oriented industry (“MOI”). In that latter instance, considering MOI status, it could continue its general policy of not recognizing China as a market economy while using a market economy methodology for a particular industry. DOC has never recognized an industry in China as “market-oriented,” but it does have the statutory authority to decide to apply market economy methodologies on a case-by-case basis.

DOC, or the petitioners in the GPX case, have the right to appeal Judge Restani’s decision to the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit (“CAFC”). Should they do so, that higher court could overturn Judge Restani’s decision, affirm it, or modify it. Were the CAFC to overturn the decision, DOC would be free to apply countervailing duties to the same products on which it used the non-market economy antidumping methodology. In deciding whether to appeal, however, DOC must consider the risk of appealing and losing. Right now Judge Restani’s decision is binding on DOC only in the GPX case: it does not set precedent that DOC would be forced to follow in all future cases. Were DOC to appeal and have the CAFC affirm Judge Restani’s decision, that affirmation would be binding precedent, prohibiting DOC from applying both the CVD law and the non-market economy methodology to the same merchandise.

Judge Restani’s decision was based solely upon US law. However, China has challenged at the World Trade Organization, on the same grounds of double-counting, the application to China of the countervailing duty law while DOC refuses to recognize China as a market economy. Judge Restani’s decision in GPX demonstrates the value, at least to the companies involved, of appealing to the US court, rather than relying solely on WTO challenges. As we noted in earlier articles on this blog (US Court Decision Ought to Change Chinese Thinking and WTO Challenges Not Always a Panacea for Respondents in Trade Litigation), the WTO process is designed to vindicate governmental interests, but does not often provide much comfort or relief for commercial interests. Appeals in the US courts, by contrast, are a right belonging to the companies themselves that have been hurt by the agency’s challenged actions and, when those companies win in U.S. courts,, the remedy can provide immediate retroactive relief.
 

        美国国际贸易法庭首席法官Jane A. Restani于2010年8月4日做出裁决,下令美国商务部停止向中国轮胎征收反补贴税。她在GPX国际轮胎有限公司诉美国一案中指出美国法律禁止美国商务部征收高于实际补贴的惩罚性关税。

        美国商务部面临的难题是在针对非市场经济体展开的反倾销调查中,它并非使用某一企业的实际生产价格,而是使用比较价格以计算正常价格。然后,美国商务部比较比较正常价格和出口价格之间的差价。单纯从理论层面看,这一非市场经济反倾销税计算方法可抵消为生产这一产品提供的补贴(因为比较价格中不包括享受补贴的产品)。因此,如果美国商务部再征收反补贴税,它则两次征收反补贴税。

        在美国商务部针对市场经济体展开的反倾销调查中,双重征税并不存在。因为在这些案件中,正常价格建立在国外市场的实际售价和本国实际生产成本基础之上。因此即使这些售价和成本包括补贴,反倾销调查已经排除这些补贴,反补贴调查将负责计算反补贴税。
 

 

                                                                                           翻译:朱晶

GLASS HOUSES 玻璃房子

中文请点击这里

One of the most troubling features of the growing tensions between China and the United States is that both countries legitimately have a lot to complain about, and typically they are the same things. Three issues are particularly conspicuous at present and at the core of difficulties in the trade relationship – the definitions and status of “market” and “non-market” economies; the role of governments as owners of strategic economic sectors and retaliation over grievances arising from that role; and cyberattacks. When China and the United States criticize each other, they often are launching their complaints from inside glass houses, fortifications especially vulnerable to retaliation.

Market Economies

Almost every member of the World Trade Organization, and even countries (such as Russia) that are not, for international trade purposes are considered “market economies.” The designation is important because the rules of fair trade are written to promote markets, rewarding market transactions and penalizing conduct judged to distort markets. The distinctions emerged at the dawn of the Cold War when the rules enabling private enterprise to compete with state-directed economies were written.

State economic interventions, according to world trade rules, distort markets. State-directed economies – “non-market economies” (“NMEs”) – are inherently distorting. World trade rules deal with them through exclusion, denying them entitlement to the benefits of favorable assumptions.

Although China agreed, when it acceded to membership in the WTO in 2001, that it was not yet accepted as a market economy, it did not expect such recognition to be far behind. Now, nearly a decade later, it seems nowhere in sight, and largely because of objections raised by the United States.

The United States sees too much state direction in the Chinese economy. National plans are reinforced by regional and local planning. State-owned enterprises are dominant, particularly in the most important sectors of steel and energy production. State-owned banks control most lending. Tax schemes systematically favor designated sectors. Utilities providing manufacturers with energy are state-owned. There is no private ownership of land. And today, most important of all, currency is tied to the dollar and does not trade freely in international markets.

China does not see its economy this way. State enterprises are enterprises whose profits go to all shareholders, who are the people of China and not small investing bands of capitalists. They are controlled by boards with mandates to operate competitive, profitable businesses. Banks, controlled by the state, protect the state’s interests, and thus avoid reckless and feckless lending that can jeopardize whole economies. Labor is mobile and subject to competition. Land tenures in Britain, and some other Commonwealth countries, are based on the theory that the Crown owns all of the land, but thriving markets in land tenures exist. No one claims that the Crown’s ownership of all of the land in these countries suggests they are not market economies. The dollar began to float freely and trade on international exchanges less than forty years ago, and no one suggests that prior to the collapse of Bretton Woods the United States was not a market economy. In China’s view, all the people of China are the shareholders of the economy at large, but no less capitalistic in their support of competition and free enterprise. Most observers of China today remark on the Chinese worship of money, no less than in traditional capitalist societies.

The American indictment of China as an NME is defended now from inside a glass house. After the fall of Lehman Brothers in September 2008, the federal government in the United States took large ownership positions in many key banks. The government took effective ownership of the automobile industry. The Congress of the United States endlessly writes tax laws to favor one industry or another, especially the larger ones dependent on exports. Property is private, but government institutions set the terms of ownership and all of the financing that makes ownership possible. And the government in the United States intervenes in the economy regularly to create and save jobs, regulating the labor market, encouraging companies to hire labor and discouraging dismissals.

Neither China nor the United States is an ideal market economy. The distinctions might not matter practically, representing different paths to the acquisition and distribution of the benefits of commerce, except that they do in the application of trade laws. China thinks itself stigmatized by its designation as an NME, and it is disadvantaged in international trade.

Until 2006 there was at least a trade-off. Trade law, as applied everywhere, recognized that state intervention in the economy could not be market-distorting if there were no market. Consequently, trade remedy actions based on subsidy allegations could not be initiated, both because there was no way to measure a subsidy in the absence of market prices, and because a subsidy by definition must distort a market and in an NME there is no market to distort.

In late 2006, the United States began to have things both ways. It said China was enough of a market economy to justify bringing subsidy cases against its exports, yet not enough to shed its designation as an NME.  Ever since, China has been manifestly subject to a deliberately unfair trade regime. Yet, when China takes exception, it does so from within its own glass house, and not only because of the conditions that shaped American views in the first place.

Even as China began in 2006 to defend its practices in the United States, its conduct tended to reinforce the indictment instead of refuting it. Instead of acknowledging that it had little control over regional and local governments, their “planning” or their commercial practices, the central government, citing to the Constitution of the People's Republic of China, asserted that all governments reported to it.  Instead of acknowledging difficulty in amassing information demanded by U.S. authorities in trade investigations, it tried to answer questions without verifiable information. Instead of leaving private enterprises in China to find counsel and defend their own interests, the government convened supposedly independent chambers of commerce and largely directed the management of China’s legal defenses. It relied principally on the advice of Chinese lawyers with very limited knowledge of U.S. law. All these actions tended to convince American investigators that China is state-run and not ready to be considered a market economy.

As a practical matter, this issue has lost most of its importance. U.S. authorities have developed methodologies that would reach the same conclusions about fair trade even were China now recognized as a market economy. But symbolically this issue remains critical.

China’s Retaliation: Mutual Accusations Of Subsidies

Exhausted, perhaps, by the apparent futility in its claim that it should be recognized as a market economy, China has adopted an alternative strategy, accusing the United States of similar market deficiencies. China now formally accuses American exports of being subsidized in an economic system marked by substantial state involvement.

China does not deny that the development of its automobile industry has been heavily subsidized. Instead, China argues that it has graduated from subsidization. This view, however, neglects the history of international trade disputes centered on the privatization of state enterprises that followed on the collapse of Communist regimes. The United States accused all such enterprises, especially in the steel industry, of continuing long-term benefits, arguing that privatization could not extinguish the value of subsidies unless the sale of the state enterprise took place at a full market price. The United States placed the burden of proof that no subsidies passed through from the state to the private enterprise on the foreign private enterprise, a burden virtually impossible to bear because of inadequate documentation.

China, perhaps preemptively, has accused the U.S. automobile industry of exporting subsidized vehicles to China. As we discussed on December 1, 2009 on this blog, the countervailing duty investigation launched in November 2009 arises from a petition that argues the American automobile industry is in historic decline and survives only due to massive government subsidization. The central problem of these accusations, however, is that they are hurled from a glass house. The United States will now almost certainly accuse China of subsidizing the automobiles China is gearing up to sell to the United States. Hence, while the industries in both countries are trying to develop fuel efficient automobiles that will eliminate carbon emissions, thereby serving mutual objectives related to saving the planet, trade laws in both countries already are impeding direct competition based on the quality of the product.

China’s action, contending that the United States does not produce automobiles through free market enterprise, is a transparent retaliation for the American insistence that China is a non-market economy. However, this action carries the disagreement forward into the terrain of the future, where China and the United States need most to cooperate.

Cyberattacks

The United States has complained for a long time that China has subjected American defense and security establishments to incessant and invasive cyberattacks. These complaints took on a new character and dimension when Google complained that a coordinated Chinese assault on Google customers included an invasion of the accounts of Chinese dissidents. Google, already criticized for accepting Chinese government censorship that affects the internet in no other country, found the latest attacks intolerable. Google threatened to leave China.

The Google-China confrontation led Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to deliver a major speech on “internet freedom” that called for international condemnation of China.  Jack Goldsmith, Harvard Law School professor and former senior Justice Department official in the Bush Administration, responded quickly in The Washington Post: “[T]he problem with Clinton’s call for accountability and norms on the global network,” Goldsmith wrote, “is the enormous array of cyberattacks originating from the United States. Until we acknowledge these attacks and signal how we might control them, we cannot make progress on preventing cyberattacks emanating from other countries.”

The cyberattacks from China are presumed to be state-directed because of the state control and censorship of the internet imposed on companies such as Google. Attacks from the United States are presumed, at least by Americans, to be the work of private individuals, free-lancers, the sort of people who fill e-mail boxes incessantly with spam. Goldsmith accepts this orthodoxy, noting that “Scores of individuals and groups in the United States design or employ computer payloads to attack government Web sites, computer systems and censoring tools in Iran and China. These efforts are often supported by U.S. foundations and universities, and by the federal government. Clinton boasted about this support seven paragraphs after complaining about cyberattacks.”

Boarding Up The Glass Houses

China surely knows at least as much about what is happening in its cyber sphere as Professor Goldsmith. The American complaint about Chinese interference with the internet appears well-founded, as is the American complaint about China’s control of its economy and China’s subsidization of industry. But each of these complaints is launched from a glass house. Until China and the United States acknowledge mutually the problem – that their legitimate reciprocal complaints need more solution than aggravation – such complaints will compound and multiply, and the two countries will grow further apart and more antagonistic. They must either appreciate the view that glass houses uniquely afford – a place from which one can see out very well, but others can also see in -- stop throwing things at each other from inside the glass houses, or board them up. The last choice, which may define the direction in which things are going, is probably the worst of all.

        中美间的紧张关系令人担忧,其中一个特点是合情合理两国都有许多可以抱怨的事件,虽然这些事件大同小异。其中三大事件最引人注目,也是贸易关系的重点——“市场”和“非市场经济”的定义以及地位;政府作为所有者在战略经济领域扮演的角色,以及针对这一角色采取的报复行动;网络骇客。当中美互相指责对方时,他们都是站在玻璃房子中向对方发起攻击,使得自己在报复措施面前显得软弱无力。(美国有句俗语:住在玻璃房子里的人不向邻居扔石头。)

市场经济体

        几乎所有的世贸组织成员,包括俄罗斯等非市场经济国家,都在国际贸易领域被授予“市场经济”地位。这一地位很重要因为公平贸易法则旨在促进市场经济、奖励市场经济转型、惩罚扭曲市场的行为。市场经济、非市场经济的区分在冷战初期形成,这些法则旨在帮助私营经济和政府指令经济竞争。

        根据国际贸易法则,政府经济干预扭曲市场。政府指令经济——“非市场经济”生来就具有扭曲市场的特性。国际贸易法规将它们排除在外,拒绝给予它们有利的假设条件

        虽然当中国在2001年加入世贸组织时同意暂时不被认可为市场经济体,但她没有料到将迟迟得不到认可。迄今为止,将近十年过去了,这一地位仍不着边际,这主要是因为美国反对。

        美国认为政府指令在中国经济发展中扮演过于重要的角色。省及地方五年计划进一步强化了国家计划。国有企业占主导地位,尤其在钢铁、能源等最重要的领域。税收政策向某些产业倾斜。向生产商提供能源的是国有企业。土地亦非私有。最重要的是人民币汇率紧跟美元,在国际市场上不能自由兑换。

        但中国却不这么认为。国有企业是把利润分配给所有持股人的企业,而这些持股人正是所有中国公民而不是少数资本家。董事会掌控这些国有企业,而且这些企业旨在竞争、获得利润。国家控制的银行旨在确保国家利益,因而避免冲动、不营利且甚至可能威胁国家经济发展的贷款。就业人口是流动的,而且面临竞争。在英国等英联邦国家,皇室拥有土地,但是土地使用权市场仍蓬勃发展。美元直至四十年前才开始自由兑换,然而在布莱顿森林体系倒塌前,并没有人否认美国的市场经济地位。在中国眼里,所有中国公民都是中国经济的股东,这并不影响他们支持企业间自由竞争。许多观察家认为当前中国和传统资本主义国家一样崇尚金钱。

        美国像站在玻璃房子中辩护针对中国非市场经济运营的指控。2008年雷曼兄弟公司倒闭之后,美国联邦政府在几大银行中拥有很多股权。政府同时掌控了汽车行业。美国国会不断修改税法给予某些行业特别优惠,尤其是较依赖出口的行业。虽然财产私有,但是政府机构决定所有权条款并提供资金。同时美国政府定期干预经济以增加、保证就业机会,管理就业市场,鼓励企业增加就业机会、减少裁员。

        中美两国都不是理想的市场经济体。在实际操作中这些区别并不重要,仅代表获得所有权的不同途径、以及利益分配的不同方式,但是在贸易法中却有重要意义。中国认为她因非市场经济地位在国际贸易中处于劣势。

         2006年以前,中国至少获得些补偿。世界各国贸易法都认定如果市场不存在,那么政府对经济的干预也不能扭曲市场。也不能对非市场经济体展开反补贴调查,因为如果没有市场价格就没有办法衡量补贴;同时根据定义,补贴必须扭曲市场,而在非市场经济体中没有市场可以扭曲

         2006年下半年,美国对中国采取了双重措施。美国认为中国的市场经济发展到一定地位,因此可对中国展开反补贴调查,但还不足以摆脱非市场经济地位。从此,中国明显受制于不公平贸易体系。然而当中国采取特例时,她也在玻璃房中采取行动。

         当中国从2006年开始在美国为自己辩护时,她采取的行动非但没有削弱,反而加强指控。中国应当指出中央对地方政府的“计划”和商业行为没有太多控制,但是中国中央政府引用宪法坚持声称地方政府都向其汇报。中国不愿承认收集美国政府在贸易调查中索取的信息有很大难度,相反在没有确切信息的情况下仍试图回答问题。她不是让私营企业寻找律师捍卫自己的利益,相反中央政府集合了应当是独立的进出口商会、主导法律抗争行动。她主要依赖那些对美国法律仅有局限了解的中国律师的建议。这些行动都是美国调查机构认为中国是政府主导的经济体,还不应被授予市场经济地位。

        在实际操作领域,这一问题已经失去了它的重要性。即使中国获得市场经济地位,美国政府已经建立的计算方法仍将使中国面临同样不利的情况。但形式上,这一问题仍很重要。

中国的报复:相互指责不正当补贴

        也许中国看到争取市场经济地位无果而深感失望,她采取了另一战略——指责美国同样缺少市场机制。中国现在指控美国出口品也享受补助,且政府在美国经济中扮演重要角色。

        中国并不否认她为汽车工业的发展提供很多补助。相反,她认为自己已经走出这一阶段了。但是这一观点忽略了历史上国际贸易关注共产主义国家解体国有企业私有化进程。美国指控这些企业,尤其是钢铁企业,长期受益于补助。如果在私有化进程中国有企业不是完全按市场价格出售,那么这一进程不能消除补贴带来的利益。美国把提供证据证明政府没有向私营企业提供补助的重任落在外国企业肩上;但是国外企业因无法搜集足够证据,所以无法承担这一重任。

        中国在时机尚未成熟的情况下,指控美国汽车产业向中国出口享受补助的车辆。在我们2009年12月10日刊登的搏客中,2009年11月中国展开的这一反补贴调查起源于一份认定美国汽车工业正在走下坡路、完全依靠强大政府补助支撑的调查申请书。这些指控的核心弊病是它们都是玻璃房子的产品。美国一定会指控中国出口到美国的汽车享受政府补助。因此,当两国汽车生产商都在努力发展节能汽车以减少二氧化碳排放的同时,两国贸易法却阻碍建立在产品质量上的竞争。

        中国指控美国汽车不是由自由市场企业生产的行动显然是对美国拒绝授予中国市场经济地位的报复。但是,这一行动将对未来造成负面影响,虽然两国将需要互相帮助。

网络攻击

         长期以来,美国指责中国不断对美国国防、安全设施发起进攻性网络袭击。当谷歌公司声称它的客户受到有组织的中国袭击时,包括中国籍持不同政见者的账户,这些指责又蒙上新含义。虽然谷歌已经同意接受中国政府的审查(这并不影响谷歌在其他国家的运营),但是最近的这些袭击让谷歌忍无可忍。谷歌威胁将离开中国。

         谷歌和中国的冲突引发了国务卿克林顿的介入,她在“网络自由”的演讲中呼吁全世界谴责中国。哈佛法学院教授、布什总统任期内的司法部官员Jack Goldsmith迅速在《华盛顿邮报》做出回应:“克林顿呼吁网络世界的诚信和法规面临挑战,因为美国是众多网络袭击的发源地。在我们承认这些袭击并以实际行动控制这些袭击之前,我们不能在阻止发源于其他国家的网络袭击方面实现重大突破。”

        因为中国政府的控制和审查,舆论认为中国政府操纵着针对谷歌等起源于中国的网络袭击。而起源美国的袭击却被认为是个人、自由职业者发动的袭击,至少美国人这样认为。Goldsmith接受这一传统观点,并进一步指出:“美国的个人及有组织的网络袭击对象是中国和伊朗政府网站、电脑系统以及审查机器。这些袭击得到美国大学、基金会以及联邦政府的支持。仅在克林顿抱怨中国的骇客行为后七个段落,她又开始称赞美国骇客的行动。”

掩护玻璃房子

        中国显然比Goldsmith教授更清楚她的网络世界运行情况。美国对中国骇客袭击的控诉看起来振振有词,就像她对中国政府操纵经济运行、补贴企业的指控一样。但是这些指控都来自玻璃房子内。只有当中美双方都承认弊病——她们正当合理的抱怨需要解决途径,而不是使局势紧张化——这些抱怨只会使两国间的距离越来越远。她们或是应当理解对方在玻璃房子中发表的观点——发表观点的人可以清楚地看到外界,外界也可清楚地看到发表观点的人——停止向对方扔东西,或是掩护各自的玻璃房子。后者可能是两国关系发展的趋势,但却是下下策。