The Keenest Sorrow: Failing Verification

Sophocles wrote, " The keenest sorrow is to recognize ourselves as the sole cause of all our adversities,” which probably applies to the Watanabe Group Companies of China in a recent antidumping determination by the U.S. Department of Commerce (“DOC”).

DOC published in an October 18, 2010 Federal Register notice its preliminary results in Certain Lined Paper Products (“CLPP”) from the People’s Republic of China, for the third administrative review of that antidumping order. DOC imposed a 258.21% dumping rate on Watanabe, based on “adverse facts available,” because DOC believed that Watanabe submitted false documentation at verification.

DOC explained the reasons for the results as follows:

“…petitioner supplied invoices which they claimed correspond to invoices related to third-country sales reviewed at verification and provided as verification exhibits. Specifically, petitioner points to the similarity between the products listed, quantities and other details in the two sets of invoices. However, they note the significant differences in payment amounts between the two sets of invoices. Additionally, petitioner provided documentation demonstrating payment in the amount listed on the petitioner-provided invoice and receipt of that amount as recorded in Watanabe supplied payment documentation at Verification Exhibit 14 at page 1. For three of Watanabe's third-country sales, petitioner provided documentation demonstrating payment in the amount listed on the invoices petitioner provided and not those provided by Watanabe. This raises a fundamental question about the reliability of the documents reviewed at verification.”

“Regardless of the motives of either party, we preliminarily determine that petitioner has provided credible evidence of misreporting of sales values by Watanabe. The fact that the total revenue associated with the invoiced amounts petitioner submitted tied to the company book and records tends to show that the prices on the invoices reviewed at verification are incorrect, thus fundamentally calling into question the reliability of Watanabe's records.”

“To ensure that the margin is sufficiently adverse so as to induce cooperation, we have preliminarily assigned to the PRC-wide entity, including Watanabe, the rate of 258.21 percent, the highest rate on the record of this proceeding. This rate was assigned to the PRC-wide entity in the investigation of CLPP from the PRC.”


Background

An antidumping case was filed against Certain Lined Paper Products (“CLPP”) from the People’s Republic of China on September 9, 2006. Lined paper is used as school supplies, such as notebooks, composition books, loose leaf, filler paper, graph paper, and laboratory notebooks, for writing reports and doing homework. The Watanabe Group participated in the original investigation and received a margin of 134%.

In the First Administrative Review, DOC obtained Customs and Border Protection (“CBP”) quantity and value data for the parties for which a review was requested. After assessing its resources, DOC determined that it could reasonably examine only one of the four exporters subject to the review.

On November 7, 2007, DOC selected Lian Li as a mandatory respondent, not the Watanabe Group. Lian Li succeeded in explaining its accounting system and reconciling most of its costs to its financial statement. As a result, Lian Li received an antidumping margin of 22.35%, which was shared by the Watanabe Group, dropping its margin from the 134% of the original investigation

In the Second Administrative Review, DOC determined that facts available with an adverse inference were warranted for Watanabe because Watanabe had submitted an incomplete response to DOC’s initial questionnaire. Watanabe had claimed that, because it did not sell subject merchandise to the United States during the period of review (“POR”), it would not respond to Sections A, C and D of the questionnaire. However, entries of its merchandise in fact had been made during the POR. Because Watanabe refused to supply the requested information and the record contradicted its representations, DOC assigned Watanabe a punitive facts available rate of 258.21 percent in its final results of the Second Administrative Review. Nonetheless, Watanabe still had a chance to turn its situation around, as it had sales during the period to be examined in the Third Administrative Review.

Verifying The Preliminary Results Of The Third Administrative Review

DOC conducted the Third Administrative Review for the period September 1, 2008, through August 31, 2009 with respect to four producers/exporters. This time, Watanabe was examined and everything seemed to be going well, until the petitioners submitted third country invoices (invoices the petitioner obtained from other buyers of the product), which caused DOC to doubt the accuracy of Watanabe’s records. As DOC reported in its Federal Register Notice of the preliminary results:

- Petitioner-submitted invoices appear to establish that the sales and payment values do not tie to Watanabe's own internal records.

-Watanabe argued the petitioner refers to third country sales, which it claims are irrelevant to the Department's inquiry into U.S. sales and the mere allegation that such third country sales were diverted to the United States is insufficient.

-Specifically, petitioner points to the similarity between the products listed, quantities and other details in the two sets of invoices. However, they note the significant differences in payment amounts between the two sets of invoices.

-For three of Watanabe's third-country sales, petitioner provided documentation demonstrating payment in the amount listed on the invoices that were not those provided by Watanabe. This raises a fundamental question about the reliability of the documents reviewed at verification.

-The fact that the total revenue associated with the invoiced amounts petitioner submitted tied to the company books and records tends to show that the prices on the invoices reviewed at verification are incorrect, thus fundamentally calling into question the reliability of Watanabe's records.


Hence, after the petitioners saw the verification exhibits and compared them to documents they had collected from third parties, they called conspicuous differences to DOC’s attention. They pointed out that verification documents that tied to the third party invoices agreed in total, but the quantities and prices did not. The Petitioners also pointed out that the payment amounts shown on the third country invoices did not match the amounts shown as being paid on those invoices in the accounting records that the respondent presented to DOC at verification.

For a company to improve its margin, it would need to prove higher U.S. sales prices for subject merchandise. In a period of review, the company would have to be selling, therefore, at higher prices than during a prior period. Companies trying to manipulate their records, without in fact making such sales, should expect to be caught and to face the consequences.

It seems that some companies have tried to manipulate their records by appearing to have prices for third country sales that are lower than U.S. sales prices by an equivalent amount (i.e., lowering the reported price on the third country sales by the same amount that they increase the price on the US sale, such that the total remains the same). The total then appears reconciled in the summary totals of the financial statements. Financial statements and invoices appear to reconcile; the antidumping margin falls. The exercise, however, is fraudulent, and the lawyers’ certifications are false. When petitioners present contrary third country prices, the perpetrating companies are caught.

For a successful verification, where DOC officials do not think they are being deceived, financial records must be reconcilable internally and with the answers respondent companies have provided in questionnaires. CLPP is not the first case in which a Chinese company failed in a cloud of distrust generated by inconsistencies exposed in their own documents, but with a growing DOC concern about Chinese respondents generally, it is surprising that Watanabe was apparently not at least more alert about its own records.

The most celebrated and very public example of verification failure involved Crawfish from the People’s Republic of China. DOC officials became suspicious of the documents offered at verification and went to the respondents’ preparation room (typically, respondents will make a well-organized presentation of documents in one room while sorting and assembling them in another) . Although the Crawfish respondent had told the DOC verifiers previously that “the company did not maintain computer records of customers of [sic] business transactions,” the officials found business documents on the computer in use in the preparation room. Following this discovery, things only got worse for the Chinese company. DOC concluded that the respondents were being deceptive and applied punitive adverse facts available, as they did in CLLP. The details of this episode are described in the Crawfish Verification Report.

The respondent Chinese company gave DOC the impression in Crawfish that something was “odd” at verification by its own actions, particularly claiming that computers were not used for maintaining business records while business transactions were found on company computers. In addition, the company’s “accountant” did not have a National “identity” card and apparently was an employee of another crawfish exporter who had been involved in a previous verification for that other company. If these dramatic and unexplained discrepancies were not enough, the electricity did not function during verification in the rooms where DOC was trying to access the company’s computer, leaving DOC officials with little choice but to believe that they were being deceived, as other DOC officials concluded in CLPP.

Trouble Of Watanabe’s Own Making, But In A More Challenging Legal Environment
In the past several months, a pattern has begun to emerge in which DOC has been applying, more often than in the past, “facts available,” and with adverse inferences, to respondents from China. The application of the rules seems to be changing. The DOC and petitioners are more and more suspicious that Chinese companies are falsifying records shown at verification and, therefore, are seeking to confirm the accuracy of those records whenever possible through outside sources. Some petitioners are using former FBI and Scotland Yard investigators to contact companies who supposedly are market economy suppliers of inputs to respondents in China, in order to discredit respondents’ claims of market prices.

CLPP is now one of several cases contributing to DOC’s apparently deep and growing mistrust of Chinese data. The Watanabe Group may, or may not, have been trying to deceive DOC, but in the presence of discrepant data, subsequent to misrepresentation in a previous review, and in a developing context of doubts about the veracity of Chinese verification presentations in other cases, the impression governed. The more Chinese companies rely on deception, or appear to be doing so, to get through verifications, the more they can expect to be exposed and find themselves with prohibitive results. Worried about the expense of legal defense, they are finding themselves having wasted both their money and their time because of an apparent lack of due diligence and care in preparing and hosting verifications. To prevail in trade disputes now, before an ever-more vigilant DOC and ever-more suspicious and skeptical petitioners, Chinese respondents will need to rely on facts they can verify, not fabrication or supposition, and they will need legal counsel with sterling reputations before U.S. agencies to avoid regrettable presumptions.

Winning At All Costs

Unfortunately, as the number of trade disputes has diminished, Chinese and U.S. legal counsel have been promising prospective Chinese clients the impossible, and then have done whatever it seems to take to achieve it. Some routinely promise zero margins in antidumping cases before they have seen company books, and base their fees largely on the contingency of such results. Some have represented more than one company, promising each one a better result than the other with both guaranteeing a fee bonus should it get the best result. One of the companies must lose, but the lawyers in such circumstances have to win.

There may not have been a lawyering issue in the CLPP case. The Watanabe Group’s experience may have arisen from simple misunderstandings. Nonetheless, DOC concluded, as manifested by the application of adverse facts available, that there was deception. When there may be doubt, DOC is now sending a signal that benefits of doubts will not be going to Chinese companies, and the troubles Chinese companies face may be all the more painful for being of their own making.
 

Should the United States Switch to a Prospective System for Assessing Antidumping and Countervailing Duties? - The Department of Commerce Reports to Congress

The U.S. Department of Commerce ("Commerce") reported to the U.S. Congress in November 2010 on the Relative Advantages and Disadvantages of Retrospective and Prospective Antidumping and Countervailing Duty Collection Systems. Commerce made no recommendations. It also is unlikely that Congress would have the appetite anytime soon to consider the wholesale revisions to U.S. trade laws that changing to a prospective duty assessment system would entail. Nevertheless, there are several noteworthy items in the report.

All other countries, unlike the United States, rely on prospective systems in their trade laws, as does the WTO. These systems require changes going forward, following an investigation and findings, but do not reach back for penalties. Congress instructed Commerce to address how prospective systems compare to the U.S. retrospective system on the following criteria:
(1) Remedying injurious dumped or subsidized imports;
(2) Minimizing uncollected duties;
(3) Reducing incentives to evade antidumping (“AD”) and countervailing duties (“CVD”);
(4) Targeting high risk importers;
(5) Considering the impact of retrospective rate increases on importers and their employees; and
(6) Minimizing administrative burdens.
Commerce received comments from 40 interested parties, including comments that the editors of this blog submitted on April 20, 2010. Those commentators represented a wide range of industries, petitioning U.S. producers, foreign producers, importers and customers. The U.S. Department of the Treasury and the U.S. Department of Homeland Security ("DHS"), which enforces AD and CVD orders at the ports, previously submitted comments for a study by the Government Accountability Office. Commerce summarizes some of those earlier agency comments in its report.

Commerce noted that the United States is the only country that uses a retrospective system for collecting AD and CVD duties. Advocates of keeping the retrospective system, mostly U.S. petitioners, emphasized the greater accuracy of the system because duties are assessed based on the amount of dumping or subsidization found for the actual imports in question. Commerce acknowledged that advocates of prospective systems argued that such claims of superior accuracy are not achieved consistently in practice because Commerce in recent years has not reviewed more than a couple of companies in administrative reviews, even when many companies requested reviews. Commerce has said it lacks the resources to review all the companies making requests. Commerce also noted the arguments of some commentators that retrospective duties are not very good at remedying the actual injury caused by dumping or subsidies because the duty rates cannot be known when importers and customers are making their pricing and purchasing decisions.

It appears from Commerce's Report that DHS would prefer a switch to a prospective system. Commerce quoted DHS as saying that "its preferred option would be 'for Congress to fundamentally alter the United States system by eliminating its retrospective component and make it prospective. This approach would …. [a]lleviate the collection issue faced by DHS due to substantial rate increases since the amount of duties assessed at entry would be the final amount owed.' "

Advocates of prospective systems emphasized that the retrospective system is bad for business, particularly small business, because it deprives companies of critical information on the full costs of their products before they have to make pricing decisions. Commerce responded to this criticism by pointing out that, because of due process rights in U.S. law, a prospective duty assessment system would not eliminate this uncertainty: the parties to AD and CVD proceedings have a due process right to appeal administrative determinations of Commerce and the United States International Trade Commission to the United States Court of International Trade and eventually to the United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit. The courts routinely enjoin liquidation of the customs entries for the duration of these proceedings. The final duty rates, which could go up as well as down as a result of court decisions, can take years to be known.

Commerce, thus, is correct in questioning the advantage of a prospective system, in light of U.S. legal rights, to achieve accuracy and predictability. The United States is famously a litigious society; trade cases often take many years to work their way through the Court of International Trade, through possible remands by the court back to the agencies (Commerce or the International Trade Commission), and possible further judicial review by the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit (with possible remands to the Court of International Trade).

Any party appealing an agency decision would want the court to enjoin the final assessment of antidumping or countervailing duties pending the appeal’s outcome. Otherwise, much of the economic benefit, should the party succeed in the appeal, would be lost. Because of separation of powers and due process requirements of the U.S. Constitution, Congress would not be able to strip the courts of the power to issue such injunctions through a change from a retrospective to a prospective system of duty assessment. Therefore, even were Congress to legislate such a change, the U.S. system would retain retrospective aspects. Under a prospective system, duties could be assessed and collected at the time of importation, but for any case on appeal -- for those companies whose shipments are the subject of the appeal, and with respect only to the issues under appeal -- the final duty owed would not be known until the court process would reach final decisions.

A prospective system may still be better. In many cases, the potential effect of a judicial reversal of Commerce’s determination can be quantified at the time of the appeal. Companies would be able to account for the risk of judicial reversal when making purchasing and pricing decisions. For example, if the only issue on appeal for a particular respondent were whether to allow a particular adjustment in the dumping calculation, the effect on the margin of allowing or disallowing that adjustment could be calculated at the time when the appeal would first be taken; importers could price their products accordingly. By contrast, under the current U.S. system, at the time of importation, when importers make their pricing decisions, most of the data necessary for a dumping calculation are unknown because Commerce has not yet performed any calculations, verification has not yet occurred, and a myriad of other variables remains undetermined. Thus, even for cases subject to judicial appeal, a prospective system provides more certainty than the current U.S. retrospective system.

Although a switch to a prospective system would not be the panacea that some proponents claim it would be, it would represent an improvement over the uniquely cumbersome U.S. system of retrospective duty assessment for the following reasons:
• Defenders of the status quo claim superiority for the retrospective system because, they say, duty rates are based on a comparison of actual import prices to normal values or subsidies calculated for a contemporaneous period. However, because the prospective system allows the importer to account fully for the antidumping or countervailing duties when making pricing decisions (i.e., where the imports compete with the domestic product), a prospective system may, in fact, do a better job of remedying the injurious effect of dumping or subsidization.
• Prospective systems are better at collecting duties because they collect upon importation. Injured parties do not have to wait through years of administrative and legal reviews and proceedings before unfair competition can be offset.
• Prospective systems are more likely to reduce incentives and opportunities for the evasion of duties because they are clearer in their expectations: normal values or fixed duty rates advise importers in advance of the prices they should apply to goods, information known to authorities with certainty at the time of importation.
• The retrospective system has no reliable way to "target high-risk importers," as it is focused on the prices of goods after they are imported. The prospective system, focused on the price of the goods when they arrive at port, makes the relative "risk" of the importer less relevant.
• The American retrospective system, by creating much more uncertainty in the marketplace, creates competitive advantages for U.S. petitioners (through the advantages of market disruption occasioned by the very filing of trade remedy petitions), but the costs and consequences are visited upon importers, their employees, downstream businesses and their employees, and ultimately U.S. consumers, an inherently unfair distribution of the burdens arising from unfair trade.
• The retrospective system is by far more administratively cumbersome and expensive than the prospective system adopted by every other country and reflected in the principles governing the remedy system of the WTO.
The United States has maintained an expensive and inefficient system unlike any other
country's. The case for the status quo, the Commerce report shows, is weak and biased in favor of petitioners, against importers, consumers, and rational markets. The systematic analysis of retrospective and prospective duty assessment systems that Congress has invited has been overdue. This report, unfortunately, is not likely to lead to warranted change.